Woelfer Real EstateDüsseldorf
Market analysis

Family offices and real estate 2026: Why German residential remains in demand

Globally, family offices are cutting their real estate allocation, while in the German-speaking region property remains the core of their wealth. What the studies from UBS, KINGSTONE and Roland Berger show, which returns family offices expect and which properties suit them.

2026年9月3日12 min readWoelfer Real Estate

Key takeaways

  • Globally, the real estate allocation is falling: according to the UBS Global Family Office Report 2026, it dropped from 14% (2019) to 11% (2025). Family offices planning changes target only 8% for 2026.
  • The German-speaking region looks different: according to KINGSTONE, real estate accounts for 56.5% of family office wealth there. 81.4% of it is held directly and 88.3% is located in Germany.
  • German existing residential tops the shopping list: 60% of the family offices surveyed want to invest here over the next twelve months.
  • Capital preservation beats yield: almost 40% expect distribution yields of 3.0% to 4.5%. That fits Düsseldorf, while the Ruhr area appeals to the more yield-oriented family offices.
  • Visible in the market: private investors and family offices bought residential portfolios worth €270m in Q1 2026, well above the ten-year average of around €170m.
  • Our view: with interest rates rising, equity-rich family offices are becoming even more important as buyers. We expect them to increase their share of the residential investment market over the next twelve months.

56.5%

share of real estate in the wealth of family offices in the German-speaking region

KINGSTONE 2025

60%

of family offices with German existing residential on their shopping list

KINGSTONE 2025

€270m

residential portfolio purchases by private investors and family offices, Q1 2026

BNP Paribas Real Estate

1. Globally: family offices are reallocating

The UBS Global Family Office Report 2026 is based on a survey of 307 family offices in more than 30 markets with average wealth of USD 2.7bn. Its finding: on the global average, real estate is losing weight. At the same time, the willingness to reallocate is at a record high: 60% of respondents plan to change their strategic allocation, 67% in Europe.

Real estate share of global family office allocations

2019

14%

2020
13%
2021
12%
2022
13%
2023
10%
2024
11%
2025
11%
2026 plan
8%

Source: UBS Global Family Office Report 2026, pp. 17 to 18. The 2026 plan refers to family offices planning changes to their allocation.

Regional allocations differ markedly: 20% in the US, 12% in Switzerland, 11% in Europe. Notably, real estate is also the most common origin of family wealth: 17% of the family offices surveyed name real estate as the sector of their core operating business, ahead of consumer goods (11%) and banking (10%).

Top risks according to family offices, next twelve months

Risk

Major geopolitical conflict

Share of mentions
64%

Risk

Global trade war

Share of mentions
49%

Risk

Higher inflation

Share of mentions
36%

Risk

Debt crisis

Share of mentions
31%

Risk

Higher interest rates

Share of mentions
16%

Risk

Real estate correction

Share of mentions
11%

Source: UBS Global Family Office Report 2026, p. 11 (selection, multiple answers).

The table puts the falling real estate allocation into perspective. Only 11% see a real estate correction as one of the top risks over the next twelve months, 17% over five years. Family offices are mainly concerned about geopolitics, trade and inflation, and let real assets have traditionally been a hedge against inflation and uncertainty.

2. German-speaking region: real estate is the backbone

For family offices from Germany, Austria and Switzerland, the KINGSTONE Family Office Real Estate Report 2025 paints a different picture. Among the 32 houses surveyed, 43.8% of which manage net wealth of more than €500m, real estate accounts for 56.5% of wealth and equities for 19.4%. KINGSTONE itself notes that family offices invest fundamentally differently from classic institutional investors.

Real estate portfolios of family offices in the German-speaking region

Characteristic

Directly held real estate

Value
81.4%

Characteristic

Share in Germany

Value
88.3%

Characteristic

Share in rest of Europe

Value
5.9%

Characteristic

Share in US and North America

Value
5.4%

Characteristic

Use type residential

Value
37.5%

Characteristic

Use type office

Value
25.0%

Characteristic

Mixed residential and commercial

Value
12.8%

Characteristic

Retail

Value
6.3%

Source: KINGSTONE Family Office Real Estate Report 2025, survey of 32 family offices in August and September 2025.

Besides direct acquisitions, co-investments are common: 59.4% of respondents invest in joint ventures with another family office, 40.6% in club deals. Special funds with institutional investors attract little interest. For sellers this means that larger properties can also go to family offices when several families join forces.

Their plans also diverge from the global trend. Half of respondents want to grow their real estate holdings slightly over the next twelve months (up to 10%), 9.4% plan strong growth, a quarter want to keep the allocation stable and only 15.7% want to reduce it. German existing residential is on the shopping list of 60%, new-build residential of 50%. Roland Berger’s family office study 2026 confirms the central role: 97% of respondents hold real estate, up from 92%.

3. What family offices really want when buying

The KINGSTONE study shows the criteria family offices decide by. The decisive factors are the attractiveness of the location, existing experience with the use type and capital preservation. Respondents rate these as more important than yield. Reputation, emotional and architectural aspects play hardly any role. KINGSTONE sums up that family offices decide very rationally and rather conservatively.

Expected distribution yields of family offices

Expected distribution yield per year

3.0% to 4.5%

Share of respondents
almost 40%

Expected distribution yield per year

4.5% to 6.0%

Share of respondents
22%

Expected distribution yield per year

above 6.0%

Share of respondents
25%

Source: KINGSTONE Family Office Real Estate Report 2025.

4. Which properties suit which family office

Comparing these return expectations with NRW market data gives a clear picture. We derived the net initial yields for apartment buildings in our analysis of purchase price multiples from the 2026 property market reports.

Return expectations matched with market supply

Family office profile

Capital preservation

Expectation
3.0% to 4.5%
Matching NRW market
Düsseldorf
Net initial yield
approx. 3.6%

Family office profile

Balanced

Expectation
4.5% to 6.0%
Matching NRW market
Essen, Duisburg, Oberhausen
Net initial yield
approx. 4.5% to 4.8%

Family office profile

Yield-oriented

Expectation
above 6.0%
Matching NRW market
Properties with rental upside or refurbishment needs
Net initial yield
depends on concept

Own matching based on KINGSTONE 2025 and own calculation from the 2026 property market reports (net initial yield before acquisition costs). Distribution yield and net initial yield are not identical but broadly comparable.

For the yield-oriented quarter, average initial yields are not enough. These family offices look for properties whose return can be raised through new lettings, refurbishment or better management. This is exactly where the 25% to 44% gap between the rents of buildings sold and asking rents that we measured across the seven cities comes in. In addition, Essen, Duisburg, Bochum, Herne and Oberhausen are not subject to the rent cap.

One important point: family offices often finance with a high equity share. For them, the comparison with the recent loan rate of around 4% is less decisive than for leveraged buyers, which is precisely why they can buy in Düsseldorf, where the net initial yield is below financing costs.

5. Visible in the market

Transaction data shows that family offices are buying. According to BNP Paribas Real Estate, private investors and family offices acquired residential portfolios of 30+ units worth €270m in Q1 2026. The ten-year average is around €170m, so the result was around 60% higher. JLL already observed in 2025 that family offices and private investors increasingly used the market cycle to acquire core properties.

This matches the development Colliers describes for 2025: in mixed residential and commercial buildings, where private and semi-institutional buyers dominate, volume rose by 13%, while the institutional segment fell by 14%. Family offices are among the buyers carrying the market in this phase.

6. How to sell to a family office

As buyers, family offices differ considerably from funds or housing companies. From our experience, four points are decisive:

  • Access: family offices rarely appear in public and prefer to buy through personal contacts. A portal listing hardly reaches them.
  • Discretion: many families attach importance to their purchases not becoming public. A confidential process is often a precondition.
  • Decision paths: decisions are often taken in a small circle and with a high equity share. This makes family offices fast and reliable buyers when the documents are right.
  • Long-term view: family offices buy to hold. They pay more attention to building fabric, tenant structure and location than to short-term yield optimisation.

What a family office wants to see before making an offer

  • Complete rent roll with rent history
  • Transparent valuation with comparable multiples
  • Condition and refurbishment history of the building
  • Energy certificate and assessment of refurbishment needs
  • Service charge statements and operating costs
  • Land register extract without open questions
  • Clear statement on rental upside
  • Realistic timeline to notarisation

Conclusion: our view

The global statistics and the German market tell two different stories. Worldwide, family offices are reducing their real estate allocation; in the German-speaking region, directly held residential property remains the core of their wealth. We see no contradiction in this: German family offices are not exiting, they are buying more selectively.

For owners of apartment buildings in NRW, this is good news. Family offices take a long-term view, buy with a high equity share and value deal certainty and discretion. Their return expectations match the market well: Düsseldorf for capital preservation, the Ruhr area for higher current income. And because they rely little on debt, they remain able to act even as interest rates rise.

Selling to this buyer group requires two things: proper, numbers-based preparation and direct access. Neither can be created at short notice; both are built over years. That is why we work with an established network of family offices and private investors, which we approach in a targeted way for each property.

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